UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549
FORM
CURRENT REPORT
Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d)
of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported):
(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Charter)
(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation) |
(Commission File Number) |
(IRS Employer Identification No.) |
(Address of Principal Executive Offices) | (Zip Code) |
Registrant’s telephone number, including area code
N/A
(Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instructions A.2. below):
Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) |
Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) |
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) |
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) |
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
Title of each class |
Trading Symbol |
Name of each exchange on which registered | ||
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (17 CFR §230.405) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934(17 CFR §240.12b-2).
Emerging growth company
If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐
Section 2 – Financial Information
Item 2.02. | Results of Operations and Financial Condition. |
On October 29, 2020, The GEO Group, Inc. (“GEO” or the “Company”) issued a press release (the “Earnings Press Release”) announcing its financial results for the quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2020 and updating its financial guidance for the fourth quarter and full year 2020. A copy of the Earnings Press Release is furnished hereto as Exhibit 99.1. GEO also held a conference call on October 29, 2020 to discuss these matters, a transcript of which is furnished hereto as Exhibit 99.2.
In the Earnings Press Release, GEO provided Net Operating Income, EBITDAre, Adjusted EBITDAre, Funds From Operations, Normalized Funds From Operations, Adjusted Funds From Operations and Adjusted Net Income for the quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2020 and the comparable prior-year periods that were not calculated in accordance with Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (the “Non-GAAP Information”) and are presented as supplemental disclosures. Generally, for purposes of Regulation G under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, Non-GAAP Information is any numerical measure of a company’s performance, financial position, or cash flows that either excludes or includes amounts that are not normally excluded or included in the most directly comparable measure calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP. The Earnings Press Release presents the financial measure calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP, which is the most directly comparable to the Non-GAAP Information, with a prominence equal to or greater than its presentation of the Non-GAAP Information. The Earnings Press Release also contains a reconciliation of the Non-GAAP Information to the financial measure calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP which is the most directly comparable to the Non-GAAP Information.
Net Operating Income is defined as revenues less operating expenses, excluding depreciation and amortization expense, general and administrative expenses, real estate related operating lease expense, and start-up expenses, pre-tax. Net Operating Income is calculated as net income adjusted by subtracting equity in earnings of affiliates, net of income tax provision, and by adding income tax provision, interest expense, net of interest income, gain/loss on extinguishment of debt, depreciation and amortization expense, general and administrative expenses, real estate related operating lease expense, gain/loss on real estate assets, pre-tax, and start-up expenses, pre-tax.
EBITDAre (EBITDA for real estate) is defined as net income adjusted by adding provisions for income tax, interest expense, net of interest income, depreciation and amortization, and gain/loss on real estate assets, pre-tax. Adjusted EBITDAre (Adjusted EBITDA for real estate) is defined as EBITDAre adjusted for net loss attributable to non-controlling interests, stock-based compensation expenses, pre-tax, and certain other adjustments as defined from time to time, including for the periods presented start-up expenses, pre-tax, COVID-19 expenses, pre-tax, and close-out expenses, pre-tax. Given the nature of GEO’s business as a real estate owner and operator, GEO believes that EBITDAre and Adjusted EBITDAre are helpful to investors as measures of its operational performance because they provide an indication of its ability to incur and service debt, to satisfy general operating expenses, to make capital expenditures and to fund other cash needs or reinvest cash into its business. GEO believes that by removing the impact of its asset base (primarily depreciation and amortization) and excluding certain non-cash charges, amounts spent on interest and taxes, and certain other charges that are highly variable from year to year, EBITDAre and Adjusted EBITDAre provide its investors with performance measures that reflect the impact to operations from trends in occupancy rates, per diem rates and operating costs, providing a perspective not immediately apparent from net income attributable to GEO.
The adjustments GEO makes to derive the non-GAAP measures of EBITDAre and Adjusted EBITDAre exclude items which may cause short-term fluctuations in income from continuing operations and which GEO does not consider to be the fundamental attributes or primary drivers of its business plan and they do not affect GEO’s overall long-term operating performance. EBITDAre and Adjusted
2
EBITDAre provide disclosure on the same basis as that used by GEO’s management and provide consistency in its financial reporting, facilitate internal and external comparisons of its historical operating performance and its business units and provide continuity to investors for comparability purposes.
Funds From Operations, or FFO, is defined in accordance with standards established by the National Association of Real Estate Investment Trusts, or NAREIT, which defines FFO as net income/loss attributable to common shareholders (computed in accordance with United States Generally Accepted Accounting Principles), excluding real estate related depreciation and amortization, excluding gains and losses from the cumulative effects of accounting changes, extraordinary items and sales of properties, and including adjustments for unconsolidated partnerships and joint ventures. Normalized Funds from Operations, or Normalized FFO, is defined as FFO adjusted for certain items which by their nature are not comparable from period to period or that tend to obscure GEO’s actual operating performance, including for the periods presented gain/loss on the extinguishment of debt, pre-tax, start-up expenses, pre-tax, COVID-19 expenses, pre-tax, close-out expenses, pre-tax, and tax effect of adjustments to FFO.
Adjusted Funds From Operations, or AFFO, is defined as Normalized FFO adjusted by adding non-cash expenses such as non-real estate related depreciation and amortization, stock based compensation expense, the amortization of debt issuance costs, discount and/or premium and other non-cash interest, and by subtracting recurring consolidated maintenance capital expenditures.
Adjusted Net Income is defined as Net Income Attributable to GEO adjusted for certain items which by their nature are not comparable from period to period or that tend to obscure GEO’s actual operating performance, including for the periods presented loss on real estate assets, pre-tax, gain/loss on the extinguishment of debt, pre-tax, start-up expenses, pre-tax, COVID-19 expenses, pre-tax, close-out expenses, pre-tax, and tax effect of adjustments to Net Income Attributable to GEO.
Because of the unique design, structure and use of GEO’s Secure Services and GEO Care facilities, the Company believes that assessing the performance of its secure facilities, processing centers, and reentry centers without the impact of depreciation or amortization is useful and meaningful to investors.
Although NAREIT has published its definition of FFO, companies often modify this definition as they seek to provide financial measures that meaningfully reflect their distinctive operations. GEO has modified FFO to derive Normalized FFO and AFFO that meaningfully reflect its operations.
GEO’s assessment of its operations is focused on long-term sustainability. The adjustments GEO makes to derive the non-GAAP measures of Normalized FFO and AFFO exclude items which may cause short-term fluctuations in net income attributable to GEO but have no impact on GEO’s cash flows, or the Company does not consider them to be fundamental attributes or the primary drivers of GEO’s business plan and they do not affect GEO’s overall long-term operating performance. GEO may make adjustments to FFO from time to time for certain other income and expenses that do not reflect a necessary component of GEO’s operational performance on the basis discussed above, even though such items may require cash settlement. Because FFO, Normalized FFO and AFFO exclude depreciation and amortization unique to real estate as well as non-operational items and certain other charges that are highly variable from year to year, they provide GEO’s investors with performance measures that reflect the impact to operations from trends in occupancy rates, per diem rates, operating costs and interest costs, providing a perspective not immediately apparent from Net Income Attributable to GEO.
GEO believes the presentation of FFO, Normalized FFO and AFFO provide useful information to investors as they provide an indication of GEO’s ability to fund capital expenditures and expand its business. FFO, Normalized FFO and AFFO provide disclosure on the same basis as that used by GEO’s management and provide consistency in its financial reporting, facilitate internal and external comparisons of its historical operating performance and its business units and provide continuity to investors for comparability purposes. Additionally, FFO, Normalized FFO and AFFO are widely recognized measures in GEO’s industry as a real estate investment trust.
3
The Earnings Press Release contains reconciliation tables for Net Operating Income, EBITDAre, Adjusted EBITDAre, Funds from Operations, Normalized Funds from Operations, Adjusted Funds from Operations and Adjusted Net Income.
GEO has presented in the Earnings Press Release certain forward-looking statements about GEO’s future financial performance that include non-GAAP financial measures, including, Net Operating Income, Adjusted EBITDAre, Funds from Operations, Normalized Funds from Operations, Adjusted Funds from Operations, and Adjusted Net Income. The determination of the amounts that are included or excluded from these non-GAAP financial measures is a matter of management judgment and depends upon, among other factors, the nature of the underlying expense or income amounts recognized in a given period. While GEO has provided a high level reconciliation for the guidance ranges for full year 2020, it is unable to present a more detailed quantitative reconciliation of the forward-looking non-GAAP financial measures to their most directly comparable forward-looking GAAP financial measures because management cannot reliably predict all of the necessary components of such GAAP measures. The quantitative reconciliation of the forward-looking non-GAAP financial measures will be provided for completed annual and quarterly periods, as applicable, calculated in a consistent manner with the quantitative reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures previously reported for completed annual and quarterly periods.
The Non-GAAP Information should be considered in addition to results that are prepared under current accounting standards but should not be considered a consolidated substitute for, or superior to, financial information prepared in accordance with GAAP. The Non-GAAP Information may differ from similarly titled measures presented by other companies. The Non-GAAP Information, as well as other information in the Earnings Press Release, should be read in conjunction with GEO’s financial statements filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
The information set forth in Item 2.02 in this Form 8-K is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section. The information set forth in Item 2.02 in this Form 8-K shall not be incorporated by reference into any registration statement or other document pursuant to the Securities Act of 1933, as amended.
4
Section 9 – Financial Statements and Exhibits
Item 9.01. | Financial Statements and Exhibits. |
Exhibit |
Description | |
99.1 | Press Release, dated October 29, 2020, announcing GEO’s financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2020. | |
99.2 | Transcript of Conference Call discussing GEO’s financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2020. | |
104 | Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document). |
5
SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
THE GEO GROUP, INC. | ||||||
November 4, 2020 | By: | /s/ Brian R. Evans | ||||
Date | Brian R. Evans | |||||
Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer | ||||||
(Principal Financial Officer) |
6
Exhibit 99.1
4955 Technology Way ∎ Boca Raton, Florida 33431 ∎ www.geogroup.com
THE GEO GROUP REPORTS THIRD QUARTER 2020 RESULTS AND
INCREASES FOURTH QUARTER AND FULL YEAR 2020 GUIDANCE
| 3Q20 Net Income Attributable to GEO of $0.33 per diluted share |
| 3Q20 AFFO of $0.67 per diluted share |
| Updated FY20 guidance for Net Income Attributable to GEO of $1.07-$1.09 per diluted share and Adjusted Net Income of $1.21-$1.23 per diluted share |
| Updated FY20 AFFO guidance of $2.43-$2.45 per diluted share |
Boca Raton, Fla. October 29, 2020 The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) (GEO), a fully integrated equity real estate investment trust (REIT) and a leading provider of evidence-based offender rehabilitation and community reentry services around the globe, reported today its financial results for the third quarter 2020, provided an update on the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on GEO, and issued updated financial guidance.
Third Quarter 2020 Highlights
| Total revenues of $579.1 million |
| Net Income Attributable to GEO of $39.2 million or $0.33 per diluted share |
| Adjusted Net Income of $0.37 per diluted share |
| Net Operating Income of $151.4 million |
| Normalized FFO of $0.52 per diluted share |
| AFFO of $0.67 per diluted share |
We reported third quarter 2020 net income attributable to GEO of $39.2 million, or $0.33 per diluted share, compared to $45.9 million, or $0.39 per diluted share, for the third quarter 2019. We reported total revenues for the third quarter 2020 of $579.1 million compared to $631.6 million for the third quarter 2019.
Third quarter 2020 results reflect a $0.3 million loss on real estate assets, pre-tax, a $1.5 million gain on the extinguishment of debt, pre-tax, $1.9 million in start-up expenses, pre-tax, $1.7 million in close-out expenses, pre-tax, $2.6 million in COVID-19 related expenses, pre-tax, and a $0.1 million benefit in the tax effect of adjustments to net income attributable to GEO. Excluding these items, we reported third quarter 2020 Adjusted Net Income of $44.4 million, or $0.37 per diluted share, compared to $52.9 million, or $0.44 per diluted share, for the third quarter 2019.
We reported third quarter 2020 Normalized Funds From Operations (Normalized FFO) of $62.8 million, or $0.52 per diluted share, compared to $70.3 million, or $0.59 per diluted share, for the third quarter 2019. We reported third quarter 2020 Adjusted Funds From Operations (AFFO) of $80.6 million, or $0.67 per diluted share, compared to $85.6 million, or $0.72 per diluted share, for the third quarter 2019.
--More--
Contact: | Pablo E. Paez | (866) 301 4436 | ||
Executive Vice President, Corporate Relations |
George C. Zoley, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of GEO, said, During the third quarter, we experienced a continuation of favorable cost trends that resulted in better than expected financial performance. While we are encouraged by these favorable trends over the last two quarters, our company continues to face operational and financial challenges associated with the COVID-19 pandemic. Our frontline employees have continued to show incredible commitment and resilience to help our company manage through these unprecedented times. We are thankful for their dedication and daily sacrifice.
Despite these challenges, we believe that our earnings and cash flows remain strong and our business is supported by long-term real estate assets and high-quality contracts entailing essential government services. We recognize that political rhetoric based on the mischaracterization of our role as a government services provider has created concerns regarding our future access to capital. Our Board has taken steps to reduce our quarterly dividend payments in order to preserve capital and apply our excess cash flows toward debt repayment. We believe these steps will allow us to balance providing continued value for our shareholders, while also focusing on paying down debt.
First Nine Months 2020 Highlights
| Total revenues of $1.77 billion |
| Net Income Attributable to GEO of $101.1 million or $0.84 per diluted share |
| Adjusted Net Income of $0.97 per diluted share |
| Net Operating Income of $450.7 million |
| Normalized FFO of $1.43 per diluted share |
| AFFO of $1.88 per diluted share |
For the first nine months of 2020, we reported net income attributable to GEO of $101.1 million, or $0.84 per diluted share, compared to $128.6 million, or $1.08 per diluted share, for the first nine months of 2019. We reported total revenues for the first nine months of 2020 of $1.77 billion compared to $1.86 billion for the first nine months of 2019.
Results for the first nine months of 2020 reflect a $1.2 million loss on real estate assets, pre-tax, a $3.0 million gain on the extinguishment of debt, pre-tax, $4.4 million in start-up expenses, pre-tax, $5.9 million in close-out expenses, pre-tax, $7.4 million in COVID-19 related expenses, pre-tax, and $0.6 million in the tax effect of adjustments to net income attributable to GEO. Excluding these items, we reported Adjusted Net Income of $116.3 million, or $0.97 per diluted share, for the first nine months of 2020, compared to $144.5 million, or $1.21 per diluted share, for the first nine months of 2019.
We reported Normalized FFO of $171.5 million, or $1.43 per diluted share, for the first nine months of 2020, compared to $197.2 million, or $1.65 per diluted share, for the first nine months of 2019. We reported AFFO of $226.0 million, or $1.88 per diluted share, for the first nine months of 2020, compared to $249.3 million, or $2.09 per diluted share, for the first nine months of 2019.
--More--
Contact: | Pablo E. Paez | (866) 301 4436 | ||
Executive Vice President, Corporate Relations |
Updated Financial Guidance
| 4Q20 Net Income Attributable to GEO expected to be $0.23-$0.25 per diluted share |
| 4Q20 Adjusted Net Income expected to be $0.24-$0.26 per diluted share |
| 4Q20 AFFO expected to be $0.55-$0.57 per diluted share |
| FY20 Net Income Attributable to GEO expected to be $1.07-$1.09 per diluted share |
| FY20 Adjusted Net Income expected to be $1.21 to $1.23 per diluted share |
| FY20 AFFO expected to be $2.43-$2.45 per diluted share |
| Updated financial guidance reflects a four-month contract extension with Federal Bureau of Prisons for D. Ray James Correctional Facility in Georgia |
We have updated our financial guidance for the fourth quarter and full year of 2020. The COVID-19 pandemic continues to have a negative impact on several segments of our company and has resulted in lower occupancy levels at several of our facilities and programs beginning in late March 2020 and continuing through the second and third quarters of 2020.
Our U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) Processing Centers and U.S. Marshals Service facilities have continued to experience lower overall occupancy levels. Our GEO Care business unit has also continued to experience lower occupancy levels in our residential reentry centers, day reporting programs, and youth services facilities.
We continue to incur increased spending on personal protective equipment, diagnostic testing, medical expenses, non-contact infrared thermometers, and increased sanitation as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Additionally, the Federal Bureau of Prisons (BOP) has experienced a decline in overall federal prison populations in part as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. Due to this decline in federal prison populations, the BOP had previously decided to not rebid the contract for our company-owned, 1,900-bed D. Ray James Correctional Facility in Georgia, which was set to expire on September 30, 2020.
During the third quarter 2020, we entered into a four-month contract extension with the BOP, through the end of January 2021, for the D. Ray James Correctional Facility. Our updated guidance reflects this four-month contract extension. Our updated guidance also reflects the recent activation of our company-owned, 700-bed Golden State ICE Annex in California during the third quarter 2020.
For the fourth quarter 2020, we expect Net Income Attributable to GEO to be in a range of $0.23 to $0.25 per diluted share; Adjusted Net Income to be in a range of $0.24 to $0.26 per diluted share; and AFFO to be in a range of $0.55 to $0.57 per diluted share.
For the full year 2020, we expect Net Income Attributable to GEO to be in a range of $1.07 to $1.09 per diluted share; Adjusted Net Income to be in a range of $1.21 to $1.23 per diluted share; and AFFO to be in a range of $2.43 to $2.45 per diluted share. We expect full year 2020 revenues to be approximately $2.35 billion.
--More--
Contact: | Pablo E. Paez | (866) 301 4436 | ||
Executive Vice President, Corporate Relations |
Quarterly Dividend
On October 6, 2020, GEOs Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.34 per share. The quarterly cash dividend was paid on October 23, 2020 to shareholders of record as of the close of business on October 16, 2020. The declaration of future quarterly cash dividends is subject to approval by GEOs Board of Directors and to meeting the requirements of all applicable laws and regulations. GEOs Board of Directors retains the power to modify its dividend policy as it may deem necessary or appropriate in the future.
COVID-19 Information
As the COVID-19 pandemic has impacted communities across the United States and around the world, our employees and facilities have also been impacted by the spread of COVID-19. Ensuring the health and safety of our employees and all those in our care has always been our number one priority. From the start of the global pandemic, we implemented steps to mitigate the risks of COVID-19 to all those in our care and our employees, consistent with the guidance issued for correctional and detention facilities by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). We have distributed facemasks to all employees, inmates, detainees, and residents across our residential facilities. We have focused on increasing our testing capacity across our facilities.
We will continue to coordinate closely with our government agency partners and local health agencies to ensure the health and safety of all those in our care and our employees. We will continue to evaluate and refine the steps we have taken as appropriate and necessary based on updated guidance by the CDC and best practices. We are grateful for our frontline employees who are making sacrifices daily to provide care for all those in our facilities during this unprecedented global pandemic. Information on the steps we have taken to mitigate the risks of COVID-19 can be found at www.geogroup.com/COVID19.
Reconciliation Tables and Supplemental Information
GEO has made available Supplemental Information which contains reconciliation tables of Net Income Attributable to GEO to Net Operating Income, Net Income to EBITDAre (EBITDA for real estate) and Adjusted EBITDAre (Adjusted EBITDA for real estate), and Net Income Attributable to GEO to FFO, Normalized FFO and AFFO, along with supplemental financial and operational information on GEOs business and other important operating metrics, and in this press release, Net Income Attributable to GEO to Adjusted Net Income. The reconciliation tables are also presented herein. Please see the section below titled Note to Reconciliation Tables and Supplemental Disclosure - Important Information on GEOs Non-GAAP Financial Measures for information on how GEO defines these supplemental Non-GAAP financial measures and reconciles them to the most directly comparable GAAP measures. GEOs Reconciliation Tables can be found herein and in GEOs Supplemental Information available on GEOs investor webpage at investors.geogroup.com.
--More--
Contact: | Pablo E. Paez | (866) 301 4436 | ||
Executive Vice President, Corporate Relations |
Conference Call Information
GEO has scheduled a conference call and simultaneous webcast for today at 11:00 AM (Eastern Time) to discuss GEOs third quarter 2020 financial results as well as its outlook. The call-in number for the U.S. is 1-877-250-1553 and the international call-in number is 1-412-542-4145. In addition, a live audio webcast of the conference call may be accessed on the Events and Webcasts section under the News, Events and Reports tab of GEOs investor relations webpage at investors.geogroup.com. A replay of the webcast will be available on the website for one year. A telephonic replay of the conference call will be available until November 12, 2020 at 1-877-344-7529 (U.S.) and 1-412-317-0088 (International). The participant passcode for the telephonic replay is 10148939.
About The GEO Group
The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated equity real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development, and operation of secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO is a leading provider of enhanced in-custody rehabilitation, post-release support, electronic monitoring, and community-based programs. GEOs worldwide operations include the ownership and/or management of 123 facilities totaling approximately 93,000 beds, including projects under development, with a workforce of approximately 23,000 professionals.
Note to Reconciliation Tables and Supplemental Disclosure Important Information on GEOs Non-GAAP Financial Measures
Net Operating Income, EBITDAre, Adjusted EBITDAre, Funds from Operations, Normalized Funds from Operations, Adjusted Funds from Operations, and Adjusted Net Income are non-GAAP financial measures that are presented as supplemental disclosures. GEO has presented herein certain forward-looking statements about GEOs future financial performance that include non-GAAP financial measures, including Adjusted Net Income, Adjusted EBITDAre, Net Operating Income, FFO, Normalized FFO, and AFFO. The determination of the amounts that are included or excluded from these non-GAAP financial measures is a matter of management judgment and depends upon, among other factors, the nature of the underlying expense or income amounts recognized in a given period.
While we have provided a high level reconciliation for the guidance ranges for full year 2020, we are unable to present a more detailed quantitative reconciliation of the forward-looking non-GAAP financial measures to their most directly comparable forward-looking GAAP financial measures because management cannot reliably predict all of the necessary components of such GAAP measures. The quantitative reconciliation of the forward-looking non-GAAP financial measures will be provided for completed annual and quarterly periods, as applicable, calculated in a consistent manner with the quantitative reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures previously reported for completed annual and quarterly periods.
Net Operating Income is defined as revenues less operating expenses, excluding depreciation and amortization expense, general and administrative expenses, real estate related operating lease expense, and start-up expenses, pre-tax. Net Operating Income is calculated as net income adjusted by subtracting equity in earnings of affiliates, net of income tax provision, and by adding income tax provision, interest expense, net of interest income, gain/loss on extinguishment of debt, depreciation and amortization expense, general and administrative expenses, real estate related operating lease expense, gain/loss on real estate assets, pre-tax, and start-up expenses, pre-tax.
--More--
Contact: | Pablo E. Paez | (866) 301 4436 | ||
Executive Vice President, Corporate Relations |
EBITDAre (EBITDA for real estate) is defined as net income adjusted by adding provisions for income tax, interest expense, net of interest income, depreciation and amortization, and gain/loss on real estate assets, pre-tax. Adjusted EBITDAre (Adjusted EBITDA for real estate) is defined as EBITDAre adjusted for net loss attributable to non-controlling interests, stock-based compensation expenses, pre-tax, and certain other adjustments as defined from time to time, including for the periods presented start-up expenses, pre-tax, COVID-19 expenses, pre-tax, and close-out expenses, pre-tax. Given the nature of our business as a real estate owner and operator, we believe that EBITDAre and Adjusted EBITDAre are helpful to investors as measures of our operational performance because they provide an indication of our ability to incur and service debt, to satisfy general operating expenses, to make capital expenditures and to fund other cash needs or reinvest cash into our business. We believe that by removing the impact of our asset base (primarily depreciation and amortization) and excluding certain non-cash charges, amounts spent on interest and taxes, and certain other charges that are highly variable from year to year, EBITDAre and Adjusted EBITDAre provide our investors with performance measures that reflect the impact to operations from trends in occupancy rates, per diem rates and operating costs, providing a perspective not immediately apparent from net income attributable to GEO.
The adjustments we make to derive the non-GAAP measures of EBITDAre and Adjusted EBITDAre exclude items which may cause short-term fluctuations in income from continuing operations and which we do not consider to be the fundamental attributes or primary drivers of our business plan and they do not affect our overall long-term operating performance. EBITDAre and Adjusted EBITDAre provide disclosure on the same basis as that used by our management and provide consistency in our financial reporting, facilitate internal and external comparisons of our historical operating performance and our business units and provide continuity to investors for comparability purposes.
Funds From Operations, or FFO, is defined in accordance with standards established by the National Association of Real Estate Investment Trusts, or NAREIT, which defines FFO as net income/loss attributable to common shareholders (computed in accordance with United States Generally Accepted Accounting Principles), excluding real estate related depreciation and amortization, excluding gains and losses from the cumulative effects of accounting changes, extraordinary items and sales of properties, and including adjustments for unconsolidated partnerships and joint ventures. Normalized Funds from Operations, or Normalized FFO, is defined as FFO adjusted for certain items which by their nature are not comparable from period to period or that tend to obscure GEOs actual operating performance, including for the periods presented gain/loss on the extinguishment of debt, pre-tax, start-up expenses, pre-tax, COVID-19 expenses, pre-tax, close-out expenses, pre-tax, and tax effect of adjustments to FFO.
Adjusted Funds From Operations, or AFFO, is defined as Normalized FFO adjusted by adding non-cash expenses such as non-real estate related depreciation and amortization, stock based compensation expense, the amortization of debt issuance costs, discount and/or premium and other non-cash interest, and by subtracting recurring consolidated maintenance capital expenditures.
Adjusted Net Income is defined as Net Income Attributable to GEO adjusted for certain items which by their nature are not comparable from period to period or that tend to obscure GEOs actual operating performance, including for the periods presented loss on real estate assets, pre-tax, gain/loss on the extinguishment of debt, pre-tax, start-up expenses, pre-tax, COVID-19 expenses, pre-tax, close-out expenses, pre-tax, and tax effect of adjustments to Net Income Attributable to GEO.
Because of the unique design, structure and use of our GEO Secure Services and GEO Care facilities, we believe that assessing the performance of our secure facilities, processing centers, and reentry centers without the impact of depreciation or amortization is useful and meaningful to investors.
--More--
Contact: | Pablo E. Paez | (866) 301 4436 | ||
Executive Vice President, Corporate Relations |
Although NAREIT has published its definition of FFO, companies often modify this definition as they seek to provide financial measures that meaningfully reflect their distinctive operations. We have modified FFO to derive Normalized FFO and AFFO that meaningfully reflect our operations.
Our assessment of our operations is focused on long-term sustainability. The adjustments we make to derive the non-GAAP measures of Normalized FFO and AFFO exclude items which may cause short-term fluctuations in net income attributable to GEO but have no impact on our cash flows, or we do not consider them to be fundamental attributes or the primary drivers of our business plan and they do not affect our overall long-term operating performance. We may make adjustments to FFO from time to time for certain other income and expenses that do not reflect a necessary component of our operational performance on the basis discussed above, even though such items may require cash settlement. Because FFO, Normalized FFO and AFFO exclude depreciation and amortization unique to real estate as well as non-operational items and certain other charges that are highly variable from year to year, they provide our investors with performance measures that reflect the impact to operations from trends in occupancy rates, per diem rates, operating costs and interest costs, providing a perspective not immediately apparent from Net Income Attributable to GEO.
We believe the presentation of FFO, Normalized FFO and AFFO provide useful information to investors as they provide an indication of our ability to fund capital expenditures and expand our business. FFO, Normalized FFO and AFFO provide disclosure on the same basis as that used by our management and provide consistency in our financial reporting, facilitate internal and external comparisons of our historical operating performance and our business units and provide continuity to investors for comparability purposes. Additionally, FFO, Normalized FFO and AFFO are widely recognized measures in our industry as a real estate investment trust.
Safe-Harbor Statement
This press release contains forward-looking statements regarding future events and future performance of GEO that involve risks and uncertainties that could materially affect actual results, including statements regarding financial guidance for the full year and fourth quarter of 2020, the assumptions underlying such guidance, and statements regarding the impact of COVID-19, our available borrowing capacity and liquidity, and the allocation of capital to enhance long-term value for our shareholders. Factors that could cause actual results to vary from current expectations and forward-looking statements contained in this press release include, but are not limited to: (1) GEOs ability to meet its financial guidance for 2020 given the various risks to which its business is exposed, including the magnitude, severity, and duration of the current COVID-19 global pandemic and its impact on GEO; (2) GEOs ability to declare future quarterly cash dividends and the timing and amount of such future cash dividends; (3) GEOs ability to successfully pursue further growth and continue to create shareholder value; (4) GEOs ability to obtain future financing on acceptable terms or at all; (5) GEOs ability to access the capital markets in the future on satisfactory terms or at all; (6) risks associated with GEOs ability to control operating costs associated with contract start-ups; (7) GEOs ability to timely open facilities as planned, profitably manage such facilities and successfully integrate such facilities into GEOs operations without substantial costs; (8) GEOs ability to win management contracts for which it has submitted proposals and to retain existing management contracts; (9) GEOs ability to sustain or improve company-wide occupancy rates at its facilities in light of the COVID-19 global pandemic; (10) the impact of any future regulations or guidance on the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act; (11) GEOs ability to remain qualified as a REIT; (12) the incurrence of REIT related expenses; and (13) other factors contained in GEOs Securities and Exchange Commission periodic filings, including its Form 10-K, 10-Q and 8-K reports.
Third quarter and first nine months 2020 financial tables to follow:
Contact: | Pablo E. Paez | (866) 301 4436 | ||
Executive Vice President, Corporate Relations |
Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets*
(Unaudited)
As of | As of | |||||||
September 30, 2020 | December 31, 2019 | |||||||
(unaudited) | (unaudited) | |||||||
ASSETS | ||||||||
Cash and cash equivalents |
$ | 53,676 | $ | 32,463 | ||||
Restricted cash and cash equivalents |
27,229 | 32,418 | ||||||
Accounts receivable, less allowance for doubtful accounts |
380,072 | 430,982 | ||||||
Contract receivable, current portion |
5,703 | 11,199 | ||||||
Prepaid expenses and other current assets |
33,393 | 40,716 | ||||||
|
|
|
|
|||||
Total current assets |
$ | 500,073 | $ | 547,778 | ||||
Restricted Cash and Investments |
40,970 | 30,923 | ||||||
Property and Equipment, Net |
2,126,438 | 2,144,722 | ||||||
Contract Receivable |
368,887 | 360,647 | ||||||
Operating Lease Right-of-Use Assets, Net |
121,805 | 121,527 | ||||||
Assets Held for Sale |
9,521 | 6,059 | ||||||
Deferred Income Tax Assets |
36,278 | 36,278 | ||||||
Intangible Assets, Net (including goodwill) |
969,629 | 986,426 | ||||||
Other Non-Current Assets |
74,234 | 83,174 | ||||||
|
|
|
|
|||||
Total Assets | $ | 4,247,835 | $ | 4,317,534 | ||||
|
|
|
|
|||||
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS EQUITY | ||||||||
Accounts payable |
$ | 91,955 | $ | 99,232 | ||||
Accrued payroll and related taxes |
64,812 | 54,672 | ||||||
Accrued expenses and other current liabilities |
212,127 | 191,608 | ||||||
Operating lease liabilities, current portion |
27,910 | 26,208 | ||||||
Current portion of finance lease obligations, long-term debt, and non-recourse debt |
25,073 | 24,208 | ||||||
|
|
|
|
|||||
Total current liabilities |
$ | 421,877 | $ | 395,928 | ||||
Deferred Income Tax Liabilities |
19,254 | 19,254 | ||||||
Other Non-Current Liabilities |
121,525 | 88,526 | ||||||
Operating Lease Liabilities |
96,675 | 97,291 | ||||||
Finance Lease Liabilities |
2,979 | 2,954 | ||||||
Long-Term Debt |
2,343,342 | 2,408,297 | ||||||
Non-Recourse Debt |
309,899 | 309,236 | ||||||
Total Shareholders Equity |
932,284 | 996,048 | ||||||
|
|
|
|
|||||
Total Liabilities and Shareholders Equity | $ | 4,247,835 | $ | 4,317,534 | ||||
|
|
|
|
* all figures in 000s
--More--
Contact: | Pablo E. Paez | (866) 301 4436 | ||
Executive Vice President, Corporate Relations |
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations*
(Unaudited)
Q3 2020 | Q3 2019 | YTD 2020 | YTD 2019 | |||||||||||||
(unaudited) | (unaudited) | (unaudited) | (unaudited) | |||||||||||||
Revenues |
$ | 579,136 | $ | 631,579 | $ | 1,771,982 | $ | 1,856,212 | ||||||||
Operating expenses |
434,402 | 472,513 | 1,341,063 | 1,382,678 | ||||||||||||
Depreciation and amortization |
33,628 | 32,419 | 100,389 | 97,240 | ||||||||||||
General and administrative expenses |
46,644 | 48,488 | 145,969 | 142,183 | ||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Operating income |
64,462 | 78,159 | 184,561 | 234,111 | ||||||||||||
Interest income |
6,360 | 6,686 | 17,046 | 23,127 | ||||||||||||
Interest expense |
(30,749 | ) | (36,645 | ) | (95,539 | ) | (115,857 | ) | ||||||||
Gain/(Loss) on extinguishment of debt |
1,472 | 594 | 3,035 | (5,147 | ) | |||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Income before income taxes and equity in earnings of affiliates |
41,545 | 48,794 | 109,103 | 136,234 | ||||||||||||
Provision for income taxes |
4,616 | 5,137 | 15,358 | 14,509 | ||||||||||||
Equity in earnings of affiliates, net of income tax provision |
2,243 | 2,228 | 7,202 | 6,645 | ||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Net income |
39,172 | 45,885 | 100,947 | 128,370 | ||||||||||||
Less: Net loss attributable to noncontrolling interests |
48 | 47 | 174 | 181 | ||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Net income attributable to The GEO Group, Inc. |
$ | 39,220 | $ | 45,932 | $ | 101,121 | $ | 128,551 | ||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Weighted Average Common Shares Outstanding: |
||||||||||||||||
Basic |
119,826 | 119,209 | 119,677 | 119,052 | ||||||||||||
Diluted |
120,032 | 119,282 | 119,964 | 119,314 | ||||||||||||
Net income per Common Share Attributable to The GEO Group, Inc. : |
||||||||||||||||
Basic: |
||||||||||||||||
Net income per share basic |
$ | 0.33 | $ | 0.39 | $ | 0.84 | $ | 1.08 | ||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Diluted: |
||||||||||||||||
Net income per share diluted |
$ | 0.33 | $ | 0.39 | $ | 0.84 | $ | 1.08 | ||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Regular Dividends Declared per Common Share |
$ | 0.48 | $ | 0.48 | $ | 1.44 | $ | 1.44 | ||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
* all figures in 000s, except per share data
--More--
Contact: | Pablo E. Paez | (866) 301 4436 | ||
Executive Vice President, Corporate Relations |
Reconciliation of Net Income Attributable to GEO to Adjusted Net Income
(In thousands, except per share data)(Unaudited)
Q3 2020 | Q3 2019 | YTD 2020 | YTD 2019 | |||||||||||||
Net Income attributable to GEO |
$ | 39,220 | $ | 45,932 | $ | 101,121 | $ | 128,551 | ||||||||
Add: |
||||||||||||||||
Loss on real estate assets, pre-tax |
271 | 1,196 | 1,151 | 2,693 | ||||||||||||
(Gain)/Loss on extinguishment of debt, pre-tax |
(1,472 | ) | (594 | ) | (3,035 | ) | 5,147 | |||||||||
Start-up expenses, pre-tax |
1,907 | 6,077 | 4,413 | 8,718 | ||||||||||||
COVID-19 expenses, pre-tax |
2,635 | | 7,404 | | ||||||||||||
Close-out expenses, pre-tax |
1,674 | | 5,895 | | ||||||||||||
Tax effect of adjustments to Net Income attributable to GEO |
142 | 248 | (620 | ) | (650 | ) | ||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Adjusted Net Income |
$ | 44,377 | $ | 52,859 | $ | 116,329 | $ | 144,459 | ||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Weighted average common shares outstanding - Diluted |
120,032 | 119,282 | 119,964 | 119,314 | ||||||||||||
Adjusted Net Income Per Diluted Share |
$ | 0.37 | $ | 0.44 | $ | 0.97 | $ | 1.21 |
--More--
Contact: | Pablo E. Paez | (866) 301 4436 | ||
Executive Vice President, Corporate Relations |
Reconciliation of Net Income Attributable to GEO to FFO, Normalized FFO, and AFFO*
(Unaudited)
Q3 2020 | Q3 2019 | YTD 2020 | YTD 2019 | |||||||||||||
(unaudited) | (unaudited) | (unaudited) | (unaudited) | |||||||||||||
Net Income attributable to GEO |
$ | 39,220 | $ | 45,932 | $ | 101,121 | $ | 128,551 | ||||||||
Add (Subtract): |
||||||||||||||||
Real Estate Related Depreciation and Amortization |
18,359 | 17,931 | 55,139 | 53,970 | ||||||||||||
Loss on real estate assets |
271 | 1,196 | 1,151 | 2,693 | ||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Equals: NAREIT defined FFO |
$ | 57,850 | $ | 65,059 | $ | 157,411 | $ | 185,214 | ||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Add (Subtract): |
||||||||||||||||
(Gain)/loss on extinguishment of debt, pre-tax |
(1,472 | ) | (594 | ) | (3,035 | ) | 5,147 | |||||||||
Start-up expenses, pre-tax |
1,895 | 5,593 | 4,401 | 7,467 | ||||||||||||
COVID-19 expenses, pre-tax |
2,635 | | 7,404 | | ||||||||||||
Close-out expenses, pre-tax |
1,715 | | 5,935 | | ||||||||||||
Tax Effect of adjustments to Funds From Operations ** |
142 | 248 | (620 | ) | (650 | ) | ||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Equals: FFO, normalized |
$ | 62,765 | $ | 70,306 | $ | 171,496 | $ | 197,178 | ||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Add (Subtract): |
||||||||||||||||
Non-Real Estate Related Depreciation & Amortization |
15,269 | 14,488 | 45,250 | 43,270 | ||||||||||||
Consolidated Maintenance Capital Expenditures |
(3,878 | ) | (5,744 | ) | (15,045 | ) | (14,893 | ) | ||||||||
Stock Based Compensation Expenses |
4,689 | 4,739 | 19,163 | 16,919 | ||||||||||||
Amortization of debt issuance costs, discount and/or premium and other non-cash interest |
1,776 | 1,838 | 5,153 | 6,861 | ||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Equals: AFFO |
$ | 80,621 | $ | 85,627 | $ | 226,017 | $ | 249,335 | ||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Weighted average common shares outstanding - Diluted |
120,032 | 119,282 | 119,964 | 119,314 | ||||||||||||
FFO/AFFO per Share - Diluted |
||||||||||||||||
Normalized FFO Per Diluted Share |
$ | 0.52 | $ | 0.59 | $ | 1.43 | $ | 1.65 | ||||||||
AFFO Per Diluted Share |
$ | 0.67 | $ | 0.72 | $ | 1.88 | $ | 2.09 | ||||||||
Regular Common Stock Dividends per common share |
$ | 0.48 | $ | 0.48 | $ | 1.44 | $ | 1.44 |
* | all figures in 000s, except per share data |
** | tax adjustments related to Loss on real estate assets, (Gain)/loss on extinguishment of debt, Start-up expenses, COVID-19 expenses and Close-out expenses. |
--More--
Contact: | Pablo E. Paez | (866) 301 4436 | ||
Executive Vice President, Corporate Relations |
Reconciliation of Net Income Attributable to GEO to
Net Operating Income, EBITDAre and Adjusted EBITDAre*
(Unaudited)
Q3 2020 | Q3 2019 | YTD 2020 | YTD 2019 | |||||||||||||
(unaudited) | (unaudited) | (unaudited) | (unaudited) | |||||||||||||
Net Income attributable to GEO |
$ | 39,220 | $ | 45,932 | $ | 101,121 | $ | 128,551 | ||||||||
Less |
||||||||||||||||
Net loss attributable to noncontrolling interests |
48 | 47 | 174 | 181 | ||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Net Income |
$ | 39,172 | $ | 45,885 | $ | 100,947 | $ | 128,370 | ||||||||
Add (Subtract): |
||||||||||||||||
Equity in earnings of affiliates, net of income tax provision |
(2,243 | ) | (2,228 | ) | (7,202 | ) | (6,645 | ) | ||||||||
Income tax provision |
4,616 | 5,137 | 15,358 | 14,509 | ||||||||||||
Interest expense, net of interest income |
24,389 | 29,959 | 78,493 | 92,730 | ||||||||||||
(Gain)/Loss on extinguishment of debt |
(1,472 | ) | (594 | ) | (3,035 | ) | 5,147 | |||||||||
Depreciation and amortization |
33,628 | 32,419 | 100,389 | 97,240 | ||||||||||||
General and administrative expenses |
46,644 | 48,488 | 145,969 | 142,183 | ||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Net Operating Income, net of operating lease obligations |
$ | 144,734 | $ | 159,066 | $ | 430,919 | $ | 473,534 | ||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Add: |
||||||||||||||||
Operating lease expense, real estate |
4,510 | 6,391 | 14,254 | 19,514 | ||||||||||||
Loss on real estate assets, pre-tax |
271 | 1,196 | 1,151 | 2,693 | ||||||||||||
Start-up expenses, pre-tax |
1,895 | 5,593 | 4,401 | 7,467 | ||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Net Operating Income (NOI) |
$ | 151,410 | $ | 172,246 | $ | 450,725 | $ | 503,208 | ||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Q3 2020 | Q3 2019 | YTD 2020 | YTD 2019 | |||||||||||||
(unaudited) | (unaudited) | (unaudited) | (unaudited) | |||||||||||||
Net Income |
$ | 39,172 | $ | 45,885 | $ | 100,947 | $ | 128,370 | ||||||||
Add (Subtract): |
||||||||||||||||
Income tax provision ** |
5,122 | 5,593 | 16,792 | 15,681 | ||||||||||||
Interest expense, net of interest income *** |
22,917 | 29,365 | 75,458 | 97,878 | ||||||||||||
Depreciation and amortization |
33,628 | 32,419 | 100,389 | 97,240 | ||||||||||||
Loss on real estate assets, pre-tax |
271 | 1,196 | 1,151 | 2,693 | ||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
EBITDAre |
$ | 101,110 | $ | 114,458 | $ | 294,737 | $ | 341,862 | ||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Add (Subtract): |
||||||||||||||||
Net loss attributable to noncontrolling interests |
48 | 47 | 174 | 181 | ||||||||||||
Stock based compensation expenses, pre-tax |
4,689 | 4,739 | 19,163 | 16,919 | ||||||||||||
Start-up expenses, pre-tax |
1,895 | 5,593 | 4,401 | 7,467 | ||||||||||||
COVID-19 expenses, pre-tax |
2,635 | | 7,404 | | ||||||||||||
Close-out expenses, pre-tax |
1,715 | | 5,935 | | ||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Adjusted EBITDAre |
$ | 112,092 | $ | 124,837 | $ | 331,814 | $ | 366,429 | ||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
* | all figures in 000s |
** | including income tax provision on equity in earnings of affiliates |
*** | includes (gain)/loss on extinguishment of debt |
--More--
Contact: | Pablo E. Paez | (866) 301 4436 | ||
Executive Vice President, Corporate Relations |
2020 Outlook/Reconciliation
(In thousands, except per share data)
(Unaudited)
FY 2020 | ||||||||||||
Net Income Attributable to GEO |
$ | 128,000 | to | $ | 130,500 | |||||||
Real Estate Related Depreciation and Amortization |
74,000 | 74,000 | ||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Funds from Operations (FFO) |
$ | 202,000 | to | $ | 204,500 | |||||||
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Net Adjustments (Gain on Extinguishment of Debt, Start-up expenses, Close-out expenses, COVID-19 expenses) |
17,000 | 17,000 | ||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Normalized Funds from Operations |
$ | 219,000 | to | $ | 221,500 | |||||||
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Non-Real Estate Related Depreciation and Amortization |
62,000 | 62,000 | ||||||||||
Consolidated Maintenance Capex |
(20,000 | ) | (20,000 | ) | ||||||||
Non-Cash Stock Based Compensation |
24,000 | 24,000 | ||||||||||
Non-Cash Interest Expense |
7,000 | 7,000 | ||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Adjusted Funds From Operations (AFFO) |
$ | 292,000 | to | $ | 294,500 | |||||||
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Net Interest Expense |
103,000 | 103,000 | ||||||||||
Non-Cash Interest Expense |
(7,000 | ) | (7,000 | ) | ||||||||
Consolidated Maintenance Capex |
20,000 | 20,000 | ||||||||||
Income Taxes (including income tax provision on equity in earnings of affiliates) |
20,000 | 20,000 | ||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Adjusted EBITDAre |
$ | 428,000 | to | $ | 430,500 | |||||||
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
G&A Expenses |
192,500 | 192,500 | ||||||||||
Non-Cash Stock Based Compensation |
(24,000 | ) | (24,000 | ) | ||||||||
Equity in Earnings of Affiliates |
(7,000 | ) | (7,000 | ) | ||||||||
Real Estate Related Operating Lease Expense |
18,000 | 18,000 | ||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Net Operating Income |
$ | 607,500 | to | $ | 610,000 | |||||||
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Net Income Attributable to GEO Per Diluted Share |
$ | 1.07 | to | $ | 1.09 | |||||||
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Adjusted Net Income Per Diluted Share |
$ | 1.21 | to | $ | 1.23 | |||||||
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
AFFO Per Diluted Share |
$ | 2.43 | to | $ | 2.45 | |||||||
Weighted Average Common Shares Outstanding-Diluted |
120,000 | to | 120,000 |
- End -
Contact: | Pablo E. Paez | (866) 301 4436 | ||
Executive Vice President, Corporate Relations |
Exhibit 99.2
Participants
CORPORATE PARTICIPANTS | ||
Pablo E. Paez Executive Vice President-Corporate Relations, The GEO Group, Inc.
George C. Zoley Chairman, Chief Executive Officer & Founder, The GEO Group, Inc.
Brian R. Evans Chief Financial Officer & Senior Vice President, The GEO Group, Inc. |
Blake Davis President, GEO Secure Services, The GEO Group, Inc.
Ann M. Schlarb Senior Vice President & President-GEO Care, The GEO Group, Inc. | |
OTHER PARTICIPANTS | ||
Joe Gomes Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Mitra Ramgopal Analyst, Sidoti & Co. LLC |
Nicholas Jarmoszuk Analyst, Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc. |
Management Discussion Section
Operator
Good morning and welcome to The GEO Group Third Quarter 2020 Earnings Conference Call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. [Operator Instructions] . After todays presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. Please note this event is being recorded.
I would now like to turn the conference over to Pablo Paez, Executive Vice President of Corporate Relations. Please go ahead.
Pablo E. Paez
Executive Vice President-Corporate Relations, The GEO Group, Inc.
Thank you, operator. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us for todays discussion of The GEO Groups third quarter 2020 earnings results. With us today are George Zoley, Chairman, Chief Executive Officer, and Founder; Brian Evans, Chief Financial Officer; Ann Schlarb, President of GEO Care; and Blake Davis, President of GEO Secure Services.
This morning, we will discuss our third quarter results and outlook. We will conclude the call with a question-and-answer session. This conference call is also being webcast live on our Investor website at investors.geogroup.com. Today, we will discuss non-GAAP basis information. A reconciliation from non-GAAP basis information to GAAP basis results is included in the press release and supplemental disclosure we issued this morning.
Additionally, much of the information we will discuss today, including the answers we give in response to your questions may include forward-looking statements regarding our beliefs and current expectations with respect to various matters. These forward-looking statements are intended to fall within the Safe Harbor provisions of the securities laws.
Our actual results may differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors contained in our Securities and Exchange Commission filings, including the Form 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports.
With that, please allow me to turn this call over to our Chairman and CEO, George Zoley. George?
George C. Zoley
Chairman, Chief Executive Officer & Founder, The GEO Group, Inc.
Thank you, Pablo, and good morning to everyone. This morning we reported our third quarter results and increased our financial guidance for the fourth quarter and the full year. During the third quarter, we experienced a continuation of the favorable cost trends wed had experienced in the second quarter, which resulted in better-than-expected financial performance. While we are encouraged by these favorable cost trends over the last two quarters, we continue to face operational and financial challenges associated with the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic.
Our frontline employees have continued to show incredible commitment and resilience as our company manages through these unprecedented times. From the outset of the pandemic, our facilities have implemented steps to mitigate the risks of COVID-19 to all those in our care and our employees, and we are continuously evaluating these steps.
We remain focused on procuring personal protective equipment, including face masks for all employees, inmates, and detainees at our residential facilities, and we have been steadily ramping up our diagnostic testing capabilities, most recently with the acquisition of 45 Abbott rapid test devices that we expect to have deployed to our GEO Secure Services facilities by the end of November.
Ensuring the health and safety of all of those in our facilities and our employees has always been our number one priority, and we believe the steps we have taken across our facilities and our focus on personal protective equipment and testing have allowed GEO to mitigate the risks associated with the pandemic. While we have continued our operations as an essential government services provider, the COVID pandemic has had a negative financial impact across several segments of our company.
Over the last two quarters, we have experienced a decline in overall occupancy levels at our federal facilities for ICE, US Marshal Service, and the Bureau of Prisons. Our GEO Care segment has also been impacted by lower occupancy levels across our re-entry centers, day reporting programs, and youth services facilities due to COVID-19. While occupancy levels have begun to stabilize, our expectation is that our ICE and US Marshals facilities as well as our GEO Care segment will continue to operate at lower occupancy levels through the end of the year.
With respect to the Federal Bureau of Prisons, we have previously announced that the agency had decided not to rebid the contract for our D. Ray James, Georgia facility as a result of declining federal populations in part due to COVID-19. During the third quarter, we entered into a four-month extension of this contract, which was previously set to expire September 30 as the Bureau evaluates its future capacity needs. Our updated financial guidance in the fourth quarter and full-year now reflects the extension of this contract through the end of January 2021.
During the third quarter, we also began the activation of the Golden State ICE Annex at McFarland, California, which we expect to achieve normalized operations by the end of the year. In a recent ruling this week, the US 9th Circuit Court of Appeals ruled unanimously that the conditional use permits issued by the City of McFarland for our Golden State and Central Valley annexes complied fully with all state legal requirements.
Additionally, on October 26, we entered into an operational contract modification to continue the process of activating the Desert View annex in California. And we remain hopeful to be able to activate the Central Valley annex also in California in the near future. We believe these positive milestones are representative of the stability and strength of our earnings and cash flows despite the challenges associated with COVID-19 pandemic.
We believe that our business is underpinned by long-term real assets the real estate assets are supported by high-quality contracts for the provision of essential government services. Weve provided these essential services to government agencies at the federal and state levels under both Democratic and Republican administrations and during times when either party has been in control the legislative branch of government. We expect that our company will be able to continue to provide valuable diversified services to the Federal Government under either political party following the upcoming elections.
As we have discussed last quarter, we also recognize that the current political rhetoric and mischaracterization of our role as a government service provider has created concerns regarding our future access to capital. We recognize the importance of capital preservation and debt repayment given the current environment.
To this end, our board of directors has reduced our quarterly dividend payments to $0.34 per share in order to apply our excess cash flows to paying down debt. Through the end of the third quarter, we have paid down approximately $80 million in net debt during 2020. And as we have previously stated, we expect to pay down approximately $100 million in net debt this year in hope to be able to allocate a minimum of $50 million in excess cash flow annually thereafter towards net debt repayment.
Additionally, were currently undergoing our annual budgeting process and expect to identify cost savings opportunities in the corporate and facility levels. We have also identified a number of company-owned assets and are exploring the potential sale of these assets to government agencies or to third party individuals.
At this time, Ill turn over the call to Brian Evans to review our results, outlook, and liquidity position.
Brian R. Evans
Chief Financial Officer & Senior Vice President, The GEO Group, Inc.
Thank you, George. Good morning, everyone. Today we reported third quarter revenues of approximately $579 million and net income attributable to GEO of $0.33 per diluted share. Our third quarter results reflect a $300,000 pre-tax loss on real estate assets, a $1.5 million pre-tax gain on the extinguishment of debt, $1.9 million in pre-tax start-up expenses, $1.7 million in pre-tax close-out expenses, and $2.6 million in pre-tax COVID-related expenses. Excluding these items, we reported third quarter adjusted net income of $0.37 per diluted share. We also reported third quarter AFFO of $0.67 per diluted share.
Moving to our outlook, the COVID-19 pandemic continues to have a negative impact on several segments of our company. The pandemic has resulted in lower occupancy levels at several of our facilities and programs beginning in late March and continuing through the second and third quarters. While occupancy levels have begun to stabilize, we expect lower occupancy levels at our ICE and US Marshals facilities to continue through the end of the year.
Our GEO Care segment also continues to experience lower occupancy levels in our residential re-entry centers, day reporting programs, and youth services facilities, which we expect to continue through the end of the year. As George mentioned, the Federal Bureau of Prisons has extended our contract for our company-owned 1900-bed D. Ray James facility in Georgia through the end of January 2021. As we had previously announced, the Bureau had decided to not rebid this contract due to the decline in federal prison populations, driven in part by the COVID-19 pandemic.
Our revised guidance for the fourth quarter and the full year now reflects the four-month extension of the D. Ray James contract, which we had previously expected to expire on September 30. Our guidance also reflects the third quarter activation of our Golden State ICE annex in California, which we expect to achieve normalized operations during the fourth quarter of this year. For the fourth quarter, we expect net income attributable to GEO to be in a range of $0.23 to $0.25 and adjusted net income to be in a range of $0.24 to $0.26 per diluted share.
We expect fourth quarter AFFO to be between $0.55 and $0.57 per diluted share. For the full year, we expect net income attributable to GEO to be in a range of $1.07 to $1.09 and adjusted net income to be in a range of $1.21 to a $1.23 per diluted share. We expect full-year AFFO to be in a range of $2.43 to $2.45 per diluted share.
Moving to our capital structure, at the end of the third quarter, we had approximately $54 million in cash on hand. Approximately, $370 million in borrowing capacity is available under our revolving credit facility in addition to an accordion feature of $450 million under our credit facility.
With respect to our capital expenditures, we expect total CapEx in 2020 to be approximately $109 million, including $20 million for maintenance CapEx. The increase in our projected CapEx for the year is related to the anticipated activation process for our ICE annexes in California. This month, our board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.34 per share, or $1.36 per share annualized. This reduced dividend payment will allow us to balance providing value to our shareholders, while also preserving capital to be applied towards the repayment of debt.
During this year, we expect to repay approximately $100 million in net debt and starting in 2021, our goal would be to average at least $50 million in annual net debt repayments depending on how quickly our cash flows recover post-pandemic.
We are currently undertaking our annual budgeting process and expect to identify cost savings opportunities at the corporate and facility levels. Additionally, we have identified several company-owned assets and are exploring the potential sale of these assets to government agencies or to third party individuals.
At this time, Ill turn the call over to Blake Davis for a review of our GEO Secure Services segment.
Blake Davis
President, GEO Secure Services, The GEO Group, Inc.
Thanks, Brian, and good morning to everyone. Id like to provide you with an update on our GEO Secure Services business unit and our continued efforts to mitigate the risks associated with COVID-19. From the start of the pandemic, weve taken steps at all of our facilities, which are consistent with the COVID-19 guidance issued for correctional and detention facilities by the CDC. This guidance covers best practices, including the implementation of quarantine, cohorting and medical isolation procedures and educational guidance to our employees and individuals in our care on the best preventative measures. We continue to exercise paid leaves and paid time-off policies to allow our employees to remain home if they exhibit flu-like symptoms or to care for a family member.
We have continued to focus our efforts on increased sanitation measures and the deployment of personal protective equipment, including face masks for all of our employees and all those in our care. Weve also increased testing at all of our facilities and have recently begun deploying Abbott rapid test devices to our secure services facilities. We are testing a larger percentage of inmates and detainees during the intake process and through the month of October, we have conducted more than 41,000 tests at our facilities.
We are continuously evaluating the steps we have taken, and well make adjustments to these steps as appropriate and necessary based on updated guidance by the CDC and other best practices. We remain incredibly grateful for our frontline employees who continue making daily sacrifices to report to work and provide high-quality and compassionate care for all of those in our facilities.
Before I turn the call to Ann, I would like to briefly discuss a few operational highlights. In the third quarter, we began the activation of our company-owned Golden State ICE Annex in California, which we expect to achieve normalized operations during the fourth quarter of 2020. Effective this week, we also entered into an operational contract modification to continue the process of activating the Desert View ICE Annex in California, and we remain hopeful to be able to activate our company-owned Central Valley California Annex in the near future.
During the third quarter, we also entered into a 4-month extension through the end of January 2021 with the Federal Bureau of Prisons for our D. Ray James, Georgia facility. This contract was previously set to expire on September 30. Additionally, we recently completed the deactivation of our out-of-state contract with the State of Idaho at the Eagle Pass, Texas facility.
We have entered into an agreement with the United States Marshal Service for the use of Eagle Pass during 2021. Finally, in Australia, we have now completed a 480-bed expansion at the Junee Correctional Center, increasing total capacity to 1,280 beds and a 137-bed expansion at the Fulham Correctional Centre, bringing total capacity to 1,045 beds.
At this time, I will turn the call over to Ann for a review of GEO Care.
Ann M. Schlarb
Senior Vice President & President-GEO Care, The GEO Group, Inc.
Thank you, Blake, and good morning everyone. Id like to provide you with an update on the continued steps we are taking to mitigate the risks of COVID-19 across our GEO Care business unit. Consistent with the efforts undertaken by our GEO Secure Services facilities, we have issued COVID-19 guidance for all of our residential facilities in GEO Reentry and GEO Youth Services, consistent with the guidance issued by the CDC. This guidance includes quarantine and cohorting policies and procedures as well as educational guidance to our employees and all individuals in our care on the best preventative measures to mitigate the spread of COVID-19. We have focused our efforts on increased sanitation measures, deployment of personal protective equipment, including face masks and testing.
We continue to exercise paid leave and paid time off policies to allow our employees to remain home if needed, and we have implemented additional screening measures for entry into our facilities. We continuously evaluate these steps, and well make adjustments as appropriate and necessary based on updated guidance by the CDC and other best practices.
The COVID-19 pandemic has had a negative impact on several of our residential reentry centers and nonresidential day reporting programs, which continue to experience lower occupancy and referral levels. The pandemic has also impacted occupancy levels in our Youth Services segment; and as we previously disclosed, COVID-19-related challenges led to the closure of our Hector Garza facility in Texas during the third quarter.
Notwithstanding these unprecedented challenges, we have had several recent positive highlights. During the third quarter, we completed the reactivation of our company-owned Park View Center in Alaska under a new 112-bed contract with the Alaska Department of Corrections. We also recently activated 11 new day reporting program sites in Tennessee with a capacity to serve approximately 2,900 participants under a new contract with the Tennessee Department of Corrections.
These recent milestones are indicative of the resilience of our GEO Care divisions, which have remained focused on delivering high-quality services to the participants in our care on behalf of our government agency partners. We remain very proud of our frontline employees who continue to report to work every day to deliver rehabilitation and reentry programming to those in our care, often in new and innovative ways, including through virtual technologies.
At this time, Ill turn the call back to George for his closing remarks.
George C. Zoley
Chairman, Chief Executive Officer & Founder, The GEO Group, Inc.
Thank you, Ann. We are incredibly proud of all of our employees whose daily commitment and dedication we believe has allowed our company to mitigate, the risks of the unprecedented global COVID-19 pandemic. Despite the significant challenges associated with COVID-19, we believe that our earnings and cash flows remain strong and our business is supported by long-term real estate assets and high-quality contracts entailing essential government services.
Weve provided a high-quality essential services for more than 30 years under both Democratic and Republican administrations and under Chambers of Congress controlled by both parties. We believe that our company will continue to be able to provide innovative and diversified services to the Federal Government under either party following the upcoming election. We recognize that the current political rhetoric and mischaracterization of our role as the government services provider has created concerns regarding our future access to capital, but our board has taken steps to reduce our quarterly dividend payments in order to preserve capital and allocate our excess cash flows towards debt repayment.
Our management team remains focused on effectively allocating capital, and we believe that these steps will allow us to balance providing value to our shareholders, while focusing on paying down debt and deleveraging.
That completes our presentation. We would be glad to address any questions. [Operator Instructions]
Question And Answer Section
Operator
The first question comes from Joe Gomes of Noble Capital. Please go ahead.
Joe Gomes
Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Good morning and thanks for taking my questions.
George C. Zoley
Chairman, Chief Executive Officer & Founder, The GEO Group, Inc.
Good morning.
Joe Gomes
Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Just wanted to start on the big picture and youve talked a little bit about it. I dont know if you give a little more color or detail on this election and what your guys thoughts or what youre preparing for if Biden wins versus Trump wins. Biden has made some comments about eliminating the use of private companies, just trying to get a little more color detail on what your thoughts are and what you guys are looking at going forward after the election?
George C. Zoley
Chairman, Chief Executive Officer & Founder, The GEO Group, Inc.
It wouldnt be appropriate for us to speculate on the potential outcome of the presidential election. But as weve mentioned earlier, weve provided a high-quality essential services to the federal government for more than 30 years under both Democratic and Republican administrations and under different controls of Congress by both parties. So we grew fairly steadily under the Obama-Biden administration previously.
And unless there is a major change in border security, I dont know that there will be much changes. So we will look at whether there is actual policy differences that applied to our business as if there is a change of parties, but otherwise, we just continue to do our job and try to do our best to mitigate the COVID-19 pandemic. But as weve stressed, we have three-and-a-half decades of high-quality services under both parties.
Joe Gomes
Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Okay. Thank you for that. And on the D. Ray James, obviously, congrats on getting the extension there, but what changed at least in your guys opinion from the BOP saying in the second quarter, basically saying, we dont need the facility anymore to all of a sudden and saying, oh, wait a minute, well give you at least four more months on the facility that we need it. What happened or what turned around there on the BOP side?
George C. Zoley
Chairman, Chief Executive Officer & Founder, The GEO Group, Inc.
We obviously cant speak for the BOP, but we would hazard to guess that being in the middle of COVID-19 pandemic may have something to do about shutting down a facility and having to transfer a lot of people to other facilities, which would be very problematic.
Joe Gomes
Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Okay. And you mentioned again, congrats on some of the recent activations here at Golden State and Desert View this week. You mentioned that Desert View was a contract modification, what modifications were made for that?
George C. Zoley
Chairman, Chief Executive Officer & Founder, The GEO Group, Inc.
That will involve the use of the facility in part by the US Marshals Service.
Joe Gomes
Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Okay. Okay. On Eagle Pass, you talked about the US Marshals Service will be using that in 2021.
George C. Zoley
Chairman, Chief Executive Officer & Founder, The GEO Group, Inc.
Yes.
Joe Gomes
Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Are there any major differences in that contract versus the other contracts, maybe that were signed 6, 9, 12 months ago, and just reflecting the COVID situation in declining populations that have occurred or is there contract pretty much similar to the previous contracts that you have signed with the US Marshal Service?
George C. Zoley
Chairman, Chief Executive Officer & Founder, The GEO Group, Inc.
Well, theyre very different clients. One is the state client with a fairly stable population and the other one is a Federal agency that is holding pre-sentence criminals and with where there is a lot of turnover of those individuals inside the facility. So operationally, its a very different kind of situation, but financially, they are very similar.
Joe Gomes
Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Okay. And I know in many industries, given whats going on here with the pandemic has stressed state budgets significantly, as you guys have contract renewals coming up, has there been pushback from the state in terms of pricing or is it theyre taking more of a wait-and-see approach given the pandemic, just any color or detail there would be appreciated.
George C. Zoley
Chairman, Chief Executive Officer & Founder, The GEO Group, Inc.
I think the states are taking a wait-and-see approach, particularly with regard to whether there will be a second stimulus bill passed. And many, if not most of the states are not currently in session. They will be reviewing their budgets early next year.
Joe Gomes
Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Okay. And have you made any progress in any of the property sales that youve talked about last quarter and again today?
George C. Zoley
Chairman, Chief Executive Officer & Founder, The GEO Group, Inc.
Well, weve progressed in identifying facilities and trying to group them between potential sales to governmental agencies versus third parties due to their real estate value in their particular locations. So we dont have a sale as yet, but we are positioning and progressing in our execution of that strategy.
Joe Gomes
Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Okay. And one last one from me and Ill get back in queue. Thank you for all the answers to my questions. Just I know in the last quarter you guys had talked about some of the other opportunities out there, one was in Nebraska, just trying to get a little update there? And is there anything else that has popped up since the second quarter that is in the pipeline that could be potential new opportunities for you guys?
Brian R. Evans
Chief Financial Officer & Senior Vice President, The GEO Group, Inc.
I think the Nebraska RFP is moving forward, but its kind of slow at this point.
George C. Zoley
Chairman, Chief Executive Officer & Founder, The GEO Group, Inc.
ICE has issued a request for information for location of capacity in the Northeast, and we are preparing to respond to that.
Joe Gomes
Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Okay, great. Thank you very much. Appreciate it.
Operator
The next question is from Mitra Ramgopal of Sidoti. Please go ahead.
Mitra Ramgopal
Analyst, Sidoti & Co. LLC
Yes, hi, good morning. Thanks for taking the questions. First, I just wanted to get a sense on the cost trends youre seeing. I know obviously on one side youre incurring increased spending related to COVID, but I think youre benefiting recently from lower medical cost, et cetera. And I was just wondering how it had fared in 3Q, given that we are hearing that elective procedures are starting to pick up, et cetera, if thats becoming less of a tailwind for you?
Brian R. Evans
Chief Financial Officer & Senior Vice President, The GEO Group, Inc.
Well, we still had experienced a fair amount of that in third quarter, the main savings areas have been labor just due to lower occupancy levels in the facility. So weve been able to manage that differently and reduce over time and then secondarily has been the medical off-sites as weve discussed before. We are starting to see I think some return to normalcy, but I dont think its moved all the way back to where it was pre-COVID, but we are seeing some of that. And weve been for the balance of this year, I think weve been cautious in how much additional credit weve taken for that in the fourth quarter.
Mitra Ramgopal
Analyst, Sidoti & Co. LLC
Okay. Thanks. And as it relates to the incremental expenses related to COVID, are you able to pass that on at any level in terms of whether its new contract negotiations or pricing?
Brian R. Evans
Chief Financial Officer & Senior Vice President, The GEO Group, Inc.
A little bit of it, it depends. We havent the pro forma adjustments dont include anything that we can pass on to the customer. Id say thats our net cost. So were working that side of it, but its limited what well be able to pass on that which we can, were working to do that.
Mitra Ramgopal
Analyst, Sidoti & Co. LLC
Okay. And then, just coming back to the contract retention, obviously, this year its going to be down versus what weve seen historically. Just wanted to get a sense in terms of obviously with COVID, it seems its still its going to be disruptive at least next few quarters with the recent surges, just sense us how you view contract retention in terms of maybe that picking back up potentially in 2021 and beyond?
Brian R. Evans
Chief Financial Officer & Senior Vice President, The GEO Group, Inc.
Well, as you know, the contract retention rate in the industry is very high. We had the one contract that wasnt renewed as George discussed earlier, the D. Ray James facility. The other one that I think of that material was the Eagle Pass facility, but those were out of state inmates and its pretty typical within the industry for those beds to go back to their state of origin or whatever, or they needed more capacity and we just couldnt provide that. So thats why they moved away, but weve already, as George discussed and Blake discussed, are expecting to be able to activate that facility with the US Marshal Service.
Mitra Ramgopal
Analyst, Sidoti & Co. LLC
Okay. Thats great. And as it relates to capital allocation, I know debt reduction remains the priority right now, but given where the stock is at, I was wondering if maybe share repurchase is something that might also be on the table in terms of use of capital at this point?
Brian R. Evans
Chief Financial Officer & Senior Vice President, The GEO Group, Inc.
I think, you know, its always it potential but our main focus is, as George indicated, maintaining the dividend, which is returning something to shareholders focusing on debt repayment and then we do still see that well have a need for some growth investments. So as we mentioned during the call, we increased our expected capital outlay for this year related to the activation of the facilities in California for ICE. So its possible, but Id say, its farther down the rung right now of where were going to allocate capital towards.
Mitra Ramgopal
Analyst, Sidoti & Co. LLC
Okay. No, it is fair. And then on the CapEx allocation, obviously, its higher this year. And youre still going through the budget process for next year, but is it fair to assume we probably see it return to more normal levels?
Brian R. Evans
Chief Financial Officer & Senior Vice President, The GEO Group, Inc.
Well, I think well see it step down some next year, there still may be some of this capital related to the ICE project in California. And then, as weve previously discussed, we also have some replacement of equipment in the electronic monitoring business as a result of changing technology there. So it will still have some reasonable amount of CapEx next year, but it will be less than this year. How much, I cant say exactly, probably at least $20 million.
Mitra Ramgopal
Analyst, Sidoti & Co. LLC
Okay. Thanks. And then, finally, just on a big picture. As a result of COVID, I was just wondering if just from a competitive environment as it relates to being able to bring on new business, et cetera, how would you characterize it?
George C. Zoley
Chairman, Chief Executive Officer & Founder, The GEO Group, Inc.
Well, we are developing new businesses. Our new announcements regarding the ICE annexes has taken place. One is fully activated. Another one is expected to be activated this year, and a third will be activated we believe shortly at the beginning of next year. And then, our Eagle Pass facility is we expect the Marshal Service to activate that facility at the beginning of next year as well. So we have a lot of continued growth issues that as Brian just said, we have to spend some money to repurpose these facilities for the particular client. And were glad to do so. Were glad we have this growth opportunity.
Mitra Ramgopal
Analyst, Sidoti & Co. LLC
Okay. Thanks again for taking the questions.
Operator
The next question is from Nick Jarmoszuk of Stifel. Please go ahead.
Nicholas Jarmoszuk
Analyst, Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc.
Hi, good morning. Wondering if you can give an update on the asset sale figure proceeds. I believe last quarter, as mentioned, it could be up to $100 million. Is that still the right ballpark to think about?
Brian R. Evans
Chief Financial Officer & Senior Vice President, The GEO Group, Inc.
Yes, I think thats the number were targeting that wouldnt necessarily all be in one year. But over a several year period, we think we can maybe achieve that.
Nicholas Jarmoszuk
Analyst, Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc.
And then how should we think about proceeds, where would they be applied to?
Brian R. Evans
Chief Financial Officer & Senior Vice President, The GEO Group, Inc.
Well, well apply those to reducing debt, as we talked about before. Typically, just from a flexibility perspective, we ll reduce the revolver, and then over the longer term, we may be able to reduce some of the bonds outstanding.
Nicholas Jarmoszuk
Analyst, Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc.
Question on the D. Ray James facility, whats your estimate for how long it takes to relocate the entire population? What Im getting at is, could there be another extension?
George C. Zoley
Chairman, Chief Executive Officer & Founder, The GEO Group, Inc.
Thats a call by the Bureau of Prisons, but right now, were looking probably at about a three months demobilization plan and that can always be extended by the Bureau of Prisons. A lot of it depends on the COVID environment. And if it improves on the Federal side and how things progress with a vaccine or just general medical care.
Nicholas Jarmoszuk
Analyst, Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc.
Within the facility, have you seen any actions that they are winding down operations there or is it more business as usual?
George C. Zoley
Chairman, Chief Executive Officer & Founder, The GEO Group, Inc.
We have reduced the number over the last few months and then it stalled for about 30 days, while we reassessed and the Bureau does have plans to demobilize at a very gradual pace. As I stated, that pace will be dictated by their need in this COVID environment.
Nicholas Jarmoszuk
Analyst, Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc.
And then with the other facilities, could you provide an estimate for how many of them are generating the contracted minimums?
Brian R. Evans
Chief Financial Officer & Senior Vice President, The GEO Group, Inc.
When you say generating the contracted minimum, the facilities that are at or below their contract minimums?
Nicholas Jarmoszuk
Analyst, Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc.
Yeah.
Brian R. Evans
Chief Financial Officer & Senior Vice President, The GEO Group, Inc.
So all of our BOP facilities, for except maybe one, are full fixed price contracts. So there are always 100% of the revenues. I think there is one thats still an older version of the contract is 95% guarantee. All of our ICE contracts except one I believe have minimum fixed payments per month. And given ICEs operating tempo right now, all of those facilities are at or below their minimum occupancy. And thats what weve assumed for our forecast for the year. Starting, we did that back in the second quarter when we revised our forecast.
And then our Marshals contracts, its a mix.
Some of them have the fixed payments, some of them dont. The Marshals populations are down some, but not as much as ICE. And then lastly, most of our state contracts have some sort of fixed component as well. And the state populations have stayed -have come down a little bit, but are still quite a bit higher than the Federal populations outside the BOP, and theyre more in line with their traditional averages.
Nicholas Jarmoszuk
Analyst, Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc.
So with the 21 outlook and the budget youre putting together, how can we think about upside/downside between there being the COVID resolution and an effective vaccine and stabilization of for overall infection rate versus a pandemic that extends for still a number of quarters. Whats the how can we think about the upside/downside scenario there?
Brian R. Evans
Chief Financial Officer & Senior Vice President, The GEO Group, Inc.
Well, obviously, were still in the middle of the were still building our budget. Were going to be flexible around COVID, whats going on in the market, but I think from a planning perspective that were going to go based on what we know today. There is talk about vaccines and that, but nothing in the market. So well continue to sort of I think apply the more the current status quo, maybe well see some improvement late next year, but there is no public information that would say otherwise currently. So we think thats the most prudent and cautious way to do our planning for next year.
Nicholas Jarmoszuk
Analyst, Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc.
And then, last question just on the 22 notes, can you talk about how you think about the refinancing options there?
Brian R. Evans
Chief Financial Officer & Senior Vice President, The GEO Group, Inc.
Well, as we said before, we have liquidity under the revolver.
We will continue to monitor the market. And if there seems to be an opportunistic time to go either do a refinancing from using another bond or we may look at alternative structures like a convertible note or something like that, but we think that there is there is definitely access in capacity to be able to replace those notes or take them out.
Nicholas Jarmoszuk
Analyst, Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc.
Thank you.
Operator
The next question is from Matthew Larson of National Securities. Please go ahead.
Thanks, guys, for taking my call. Ive got questions more on the big picture, all right? You guys are essentially a landlord and you have a tenant which fortunately pays all their bills. I live in New York City and there is long-term landlords who own skyscrapers and what-have-you, and nobody showing up at the office. And no ones paying rent. When I say no one, I dont mean literally, but so based on whatever cap rate that these buildings were worth certainly are less and the future is going to look a little different. We dont know how much space is going to be required and how many inmates arent coming back to the prison.
Okay, if I can make the analogy with you all whereas some inmates have been let out because of COVID, prison reform, or liberal, Ill say, a little more progressive sorts of notions about just letting people out early. But at least your tenants have been paying. And I assume well get through this. And I assume there will be a need for prisons. And it might be reduced. But the rhetoric weve seen has been on the federal level.
And if Im not mistaken, 80% plus of your contracts are with states and if states budgets are stretched, it seems to me theyd be more interested in spending whatever monies they have on education, infrastructure, things like that, and outsourcing prison or detention centers would be preferable versus taking it on themselves or building a new facility.
Is that an accurate statement about the state of affairs of your business? Its depressed because every real estate-oriented business is depressed. And yours seems the prices of your stock and your main public competitor are certainly down dramatically as if theyre going out of business. Actually, I shouldnt say things like that. But as if theyre malls or something like that, which people may not ever go back to.
With that in mind, is there a sense that states will continue to keep you as clients regardless of what one administration might feel about for-profit prisons, and therefore, it doesnt affect the bulk of your business?
George C. Zoley
Chairman, Chief Executive Officer & Founder, The GEO Group, Inc.
Well, in our 35-year track record, we have a retention track record of over 90% because we are a essential government services provider at the Federal and state levels. And at the state levels in many cases, states have preferred allowing the private sector to come in and use private sector financing to build these new facilities that were needed because of overcrowding situations in their own prisons. That benefited them by allowing them to use their scarce financial resources to apply to other areas like building schools. So were glad to have done that over the last three decades and expect that we will continue to be favored to do that.
At the federal level, there is we operate on behalf of three federal agencies, the BOP, the Marshal Service, and ICE. BOP is an operator and they have their own facilities, and our facilities have been a supplement to theirs, holding primarily criminal aliens. For the Marshal Service and ICE, they are not operators. They depend on either the private sector or in combination with the public sector to provide the capacity for their needs. And weve been doing that for 35 years. And we expect to continue to do that, because they dont have their own facilities. They are not operators. Unlike the BOP which has its own facilities, US Marshal Service and ICE have used primarily the private sector and the public sector to provide them with facilities and capacity to carry out their responsibilities. And weve been a major player in that scenario.
Matthew Larson
National Securities
All right. So then I could draw from that, right now the border is shut down more than what it would normally be because of COVID. In the same way, I cant fly to Paris because they are not going to let me land or Id have to quarantine myself. There is greater restriction of people coming over the border, you dont seem to hear about a border crisis anymore from either side of the aisle.
But if one administration got in if Democratic administration came in and theyve been the ones who have been more likely to talk about doing away with the for-profit prisons one could generalize that may be the border openings would be more porous and there would be a need to house these folks in detention centers until their individual situations are adjudicated, all right?
So it seems to me that that could actually since you said ICE doesnt have any facilities on their own, they would need people like yourself. So Ill just make it as a comment. And unless its you feel that thats completely way off, then a lot of the concern not a lot, some portion of the concern of shutting down or not doing business with private prisons is maybe ever blown because if ICE doesnt have their own, theyre going to need somebody and youve been there for decades. And as long as youre supplying a fair and competitive product, then presumably youll still get some business from ICE regardless of who is in the whose administrations in the White House, is that reasonably accurate thing to say?
George C. Zoley
Chairman, Chief Executive Officer & Founder, The GEO Group, Inc.
I think it is. As long as there is a policy of Border Enforcement, we will play continue to play a role in supporting that policy.
Matthew Larson
National Securities
Okay. And then, another thing that has been an issue is that youve essentially been red-lined by all the major banks where they just dont want to loan to you presumably for politically correct reasons or they just dont need the bad press, which to me is, Im kind of a libertarian. I think thats discriminatory and essentially, its redlining. Is there any sort of legal recourse you might have about having some of the financing markets closed down to you, just simply because youre in a business that JPMorgan doesnt feel they need the bad press?
A is, is that something that could be brought up, since you are supplying needed service for most people I think would believe that, some people feel that I mean, some people feel that any sort of I really dont understand the point of the folks that feel that a for-profit prison is some sort of a bad thing unless youre supplying a substandard service.
But I guess Im just talking about the financing thing. Is that something that seems discriminatory to you and maybe there is some recourse? But secondarily, is there plenty of money out there albeit maybe at a higher cost from private equity or private sources who really dont care about politicians spinning something in some way. So that regardless of the political winds going forward you will always have access to some capital, itd just be more expensive, which might cut into your bottom line. Is that also an accurate thing to say?
Brian R. Evans
Chief Financial Officer & Senior Vice President, The GEO Group, Inc.
So this is Brian. First on the question of discriminatory lending and whatnot, theres been some discussion at the federal level, I think, from the Office of the Currency of the Comptroller and some of the US members of the Senate Finance Committees, et cetera, pressing that issue. And I think well just have to see how it works out. Our industry isnt the only one whos been facing that issue. Were a smaller industry, but the oil and gas industry has been facing that sort of pressure as well. The gun industry and the ammunition industry is facing that.
So there is a number of different industries that have that as you point out are all legal industries providing lawful services, et cetera. And well just have to see how that works out. But were obviously monitoring that situation.
And then, as far as the capital markets, we do continue to believe that well have access as you said, the prices may be higher, but thats part of the reason why were focusing on making some modest debt reduction also to offset those potential higher prices. And I think as the political rhetoric and situation stabilizes that will also help with the prices in the market over time.
Matthew Larson
National Securities
All right. And just one or two other things, because Im trying to look at the whole big picture here, particularly because of the level of your companys stock price, I know thats probably looked at pretty closely by you all. I know that George made some very large stock purchases this year. Nobody knows the business better than him. This is George Im speaking with? Im not sure.
George C. Zoley
Chairman, Chief Executive Officer & Founder, The GEO Group, Inc.
Yes, it is.
Matthew Larson
National Securities
Okay. Im sorry. So you certainly know the business better than anybody. And I guess what Im saying is that, if the public markets currently are not rewarding you all for your earnings power or the fact that you have AAA tenants paying you rent even though they might need a little less space going forward because of COVID, or prison reform, or who knows what, or a closing of the border. At some point that will stabilize and I would assume you would rationalize your capacity. But one way to do that would be to sell some of your facilities to the states or the Federal government, if they want to manage it themselves, I guess Ive read up or Ive gotten Ive been on the impression that youre facilities are perhaps superior to some of the ones the states own or the Feds might own that are decades old.
And if its anything like public schools versus private schools here in New York, there is a significant difference in quality. So if necessary, are these facilities you could sell so that one could put kind of a floor under what the value of your company is regardless of whether you were shut down to a greater degree because we live in very unusual times and you have no one has no idea what some administration might do just to score some points, or if they just completely open up the jail doors to in the name of prison reform.
So is that A, an option? And B, if your stock prices dont if your stock price doesnt recover, could you just go private? A private equity firm who may not care a multi-billion dollar private equity firm may not care about public opinion. They realize its a long game 10 or 15 years, administrations come and go. I also can say this Obama, his talking point when he was trying to get elected in LA, was he was going to close Guantanamo in eight years, he never did. So that these things really never come off and with all the problems facing, any numerous administration, it seems to me closing for-profit prison has got a rank pretty far down there. We have bigger things facing our country than that. So do you feel theres private equity money out there that would pay a premium for you all if the public markets are not rewarding you for your earnings capability?
George C. Zoley
Chairman, Chief Executive Officer & Founder, The GEO Group, Inc.
A lot of good questions. But were not going to make any dramatic situations in a transitional period that I think the countrys sense. The economy is in a transitional period because of this pandemic, and people will have to see beyond where we are now to normalization to set a path forward, and not to overreact to temporary circumstances. Weve been around for 35 years on I hope, were around another 35 years. And well just work our way through this.
And the way we do it has been through what we believe is our track record for operational excellence. Yeah, we do have the best facilities of the kind we operate in the world, whether theyre state facilities or Federal facilities. So were proud of the facilities we operate. Yes, they are better than our counterpart governmental facilities and the asset value of those facilities is probably $4 or $5 billion. But were not going to be reckless in cashing them in a stressful time thats just transitionary. Its not appropriate. Theres no need to make these dramatic decisions when youre going through a period thats stressful to the economy and to the political situation at the federal and state levels, but we have a lot of options. Were aware of what those options are. And we will monitor the situation and take action as necessary.
Matthew Larson
National Securities
Okay. Thats just kind of what I wanted to hear because when stocks get into the single digits and theyre heading south, a lot of it is just probably just selling by endowments or foundations or who knows public pension plans, or just momentum selling that could be putting in a climactic low. And so what I wanted to hear is what you told me is that you have facilities that have significant value. Its not as if youre Im not suggesting one sell them or anything like that.
What Im saying is that in the worst-case scenario, you have assets that someone is going to value at some point. And even if you lease them out to state or federal people and let them run them, they represent an asset that has a long life ahead of them. And so that investing in stocks trading in the single digits that have never really been there in years, one has to know their downside. And its my sense that if one can have a five-year viewpoint or 10-year, then thats the time to consider them strongly. And so Im just trying to figure out what the data says.
It sounds like you do have access to some financing if necessary, even if it costs you a little more, whether its convertible, or through other sources. You have assets that have value on their own. And going forward, society will be as it is, therell be a need for housing prisoners or people coming over the border or who knows what. And you all have been supplying that service for 35 years. Theres no reason to think that you wont be for the next 35 years or so.
All right. Thanks so much for answering my questions, and I guess letting me to, I guess, express a little bit of my just opinion, if nothing else. So Ill move on and let somebody else ask their question.
George C. Zoley
Chairman, Chief Executive Officer & Founder, The GEO Group, Inc.
Thank you for those questions.
Operator
The next question is from Bill Fang of New York Life. Please go ahead.
Yes, hi. Can you hear me? Thank you. Hello.
George C. Zoley
Chairman, Chief Executive Officer & Founder, The GEO Group, Inc.
Yes, we can hear you.
Bill Fang
New York Life
Great. Yes, thank you for taking my questions.
[indiscernible] have concern about political. I dont want to ask that. I just want to ask, assuming no big political headwinds to us, just considering about the COVID, I think in the short term, its going to be continue to have some pressure but there should be no problem [indiscernible] or any other, but do you see I mean, like a turning point and whats the upside growth in the longer view, two years later or after vaccine? Is there a lot of upside?
George C. Zoley
Chairman, Chief Executive Officer & Founder, The GEO Group, Inc.
Yeah.
Once the vaccine is made available nationally, we think therell be a restoration of normal enforcement policies, and we would have higher occupancies at our facilities and restore revenues that weve seen decrease during this pandemic. So by many estimates, that will occur sometime next year.
Operator
That concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to George Zoley for closing remarks.
George C. Zoley
Chairman, Chief Executive Officer & Founder, The GEO Group, Inc.
Well, thank you for those exciting questions, and well look forward to addressing you in the next quarterly conference call. Thank you.
Operator
The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending todays presentation. You may now disconnect.